Which Way Will the Wind Blow?
Variability in the availability of renewable generation is often cited as an issue for grid managers, but the obvious thing to do in that case is forecast it. Generation market simulation software often includes the ability to model seasonal and annual variation in water availability for hydros. Presumably wind (and solar) will acquire they own modeling methods. The PJM is apparently looking at the possibilities for build a wind forecasting model. Other people are doubtless doing the same. Does anyone know of any papers on this sort of thing?
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